2014 Week 12 NFL Picks: 5* Cardinals +7 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[Cardinals/SEAHAWKS] Every week it is hard to believe that a team that is only averaging 79 yards per game can win.  However, that is exactly what the Cardinals are doing.  It could be because this same team is only allowing 17 points per game.  The real battle today is the Seahawks offense that is powering 174 rushing yards per game versus a stingy Cardinals defense that is allowing only 80 rushing yards per game. This same defense already cranking out 15 interceptions this season.  One thing that is too hard to resist is a Cardinals team that is 5-0 ATS in their last five games in outscoring their opponents by over 10 points per game versus a Seahawks team that is 1-5 ATS in their last six games.  Hard to believe that these opposing quarterback staffs enter with matching quarterback ratings.

2013 Week 1 5* NFL Picks: COLTS -10 4* Patriots -10.5, Bengals +3 #nflonedotcom

[Raiders/COLTS] The Raiders are 11-23 ATS in last 35 games as a non-divisional road underdog; 4-15 ATS in last 19 games on artificial turf. While Oakland is most recently 4-1 as an underdog in road openers; QB Pryor is making his first road start.

[Patriots/BILLS] New England is 23-2 in last 25 series games, 8-1 in last nine visits here, with seven of eight wins by 13+ points. Since ’04, NE is 33-20-1 as AF; they’re 17-6-2 in last 25 games as a divisional AF, 5-2 in last seven road openers, 6-3 as favorite in road openers. New coach and new QB for Buffalo. Bills are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as an AFC East home dog, 5-9-1 overall as home dog since 2008.

[Bengals/BEARS] Edge to Cincy for having same HC/QB/coordinators as LY, while Chicago brought QB Trestman in from CFL to mentor star signal caller Cutler. Cincy is 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC opponents. Although the Bengals are 4-10 in last 14 road openers, 4-5 as road dog in road openers, and the Bears won seven of last eight home openers, Cincy is 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog. Since ’07, the Bears are 7-13-1 in non-divisional games.

2012 Week 12 4* NFL Pick: GIANTS -2.5

While the experts and public are favoring the NEW YORK GIANTS, the Packers will push the Giants to their limit. The bad news for the Giants is that they arrive with the 28th ranked Home rushing defense. The good news for the Giants is that the Packers, 5-0 SU, 13-3 SU in their last 16 Road games, are powering the 22nd ranked Road rushing attack on only 99.4 rushing yards per game. A league best 4-1 ATS in their last five games in outscoring their opponents by 11 points per game, the Packers sport a surprisingly weak Road passing defense this year; the Giants 9th ranked Home passing attack that is averaging 279 yards per game, and has slowed over the last two weeks, will need to attack early. 1-4 ATS in their last five games at Home, avoiding the fumbles that has paralyzed their momentum and the rushing attack will be a must. Powering more than 305 yards per game that the Giants have averaged over their last five games will also be key. Lastly, allowing 3.2 sacks per game, pressuring Rodgers into a mistake, and not allowing the momentum that teams have been driving in the second quarter will be just as important.

Week 11 Killer NFL Trends Of The Week

Oakland Raiders/Miami Dolphins
· The Raiders are 0-7 ats (-11.7 ppg) since 1997 as a 7+ dog when they lost by 7+ points in each of their last two games.Check the SDQL here
· The Dolphins are 9-0 ats (+8.6 ppg) since 1990 as a home favorite after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing.Check the SDQL here

Arizona Cardinals/Seattle Seahawks
· The Cardinals are 0-5 ats (-10.0 ppg) since december 18, 2005 when facing a team that has averaged fewer than 275 yards offense per game season-to-date.Check the SDQL here
· The Seahawks are 10-0 ats (+11.8 ppg) since december 13, 1998 when they are off a 1-3 point loss vs a non-divisional opponent.Check the SDQL here

Cleveland Browns/Buffalo Bills
· The Browns are 0-8 ats (-10.0 ppg) since 2003 as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent when they host another non-divisional opponent next week.Check the SDQL here
· The Bills are 11-0 ats (+11.6 ppg) since 1996 in the game after they visit the patriots.Check the SDQL here

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Week 10 Killer Trends Of the Week

Kansas City Chiefs/San Diego Chargers
· The Chiefs are 0-5 ats (-10.1 ppg) since 2004 the week after a loss in which they were winning at the end of the third quarter.Check the SDQL here
· The Chargers are 10-0 ats (+13.8 ppg) since 2003 at home when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date.Check the SDQL here

NY Giants/Philadelphia Eagles
· The Giants are 7-0 ats (+11.4 ppg) since 2006 the week after a win in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing.Check the SDQL here
· The Eagles are 0-7 ats (-10.8 ppg) since 2001 when the line is within 3 of pick after a straight up win on the road, as long as they weren’t getting a td or more in that road win.Check the SDQL here

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Week 9 Bye Trends: Last Chance

As The Director readies his Week 9 picks, our resident experts check in with their outlooks and predictions.

One thing is for sure, our friend’s Bye Trends is the golden ticket. Thus, The Director encourages you to take note as he prepares his Key NFL Trends:

Week 9: Sunday, November 2nd

OVER & JACKSONVILLE ATS at Cincinnati
Reason…Cincinnati’s opponent in the post-bye week game is on a 6-1 SU & ATS run and the OVER shares the same record in the L7.

DENVER ATS vs. Miami
Reason…The Broncos have been consistently strong coming out of the open date, going 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS since ’92.

CLEVELAND ATS vs. Baltimore
Reason…The Ravens have lost five of their last six, both SU & ATS before the open date after winning their previous five.

UNDER – Baltimore at Cleveland
Reason…The UNDER is on a run 5-1 in Baltimore’s L6 pre-bye week games.

TAMPA BAY ATS at Kansas City
Reason…Since arriving in Tampa in 2002, John Gruden’s Buccaneers team has not lost a pre-bye week game, going 6-0 SU & ATS.

DALLAS ATS at NY Giants
Reason…The Cowboys own the league’s best straight up mark overall in pre-week games at 14-4 and are second with a 13-5 ATS mark. In the last 10 years, they are 9-1 ATS.

OVER – Houston at Minnesota
Reason…Totals have been the wager of choice for savvy bettors in pre- & post bye week Minnesota games. Since ’98, the OVER is 17-5 in those contests.

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Week 8 Bye Trends: The Golden Ticket

As The Director readies his Week 6 picks, our resident experts check in with their outlooks and predictions.

One thing is for sure, our friend’s Bye Trends is the golden ticket. Thus, The Director encourages you to take note as he prepares his Key NFL Trends:

Week 8: Sunday, October 26th

UNDER – Seattle at San Francisco
Reason…Since ’00, the UNDER is 7-2 in the game prior to the San Francisco open date.

UNDER – Arizona at Carolina
Reason…The Cardinals have been a huge UNDER team coming out of the bye week, failing to surpass the posted total in 11 of the L13 games. Arizona itself has averaged just 13.2 PPG in that spot.

CAROLINA ATS vs. Arizona
Reason…The Panthers are on a 6-2 ATS run in pre-open date games.

OVER – San Diego at New Orleans
Reason…Two significant patterns have formed in pre-bye week Chargers games: The OVER is 10-3 in the L13, and…

SAN DIEGO ATS at New Orleans
Reason…the other significant trend finds San Diego 10-4 ATS in the L14 pre-bye week games.

PHILADELPHIA SU& ATS vs. Atlanta
Reason…As bad as Philadelphia has been going into the bye week, the Eagles have been phenomenal coming out of it, going 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS, allowing just 8.8 PPG.

UNDER – Atlanta at Philadelphia
Reason…The Falcons have a significant post-bye week trend that has formed in the L10 games: 8-0-2 UNDER the total. If that’s not enough, Philadelphia has gone UNDER the total in its L9 post-open date games, dating back to 2000.

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Week 7 Killer Trends Of The Week

Pittsburgh Steelers/Cincinnati Bengals
· The Pittsburgh Steelers are 12-0 ATS (+12.7 ppg) since 2000 as a favorite when facing a team that has averaged less than 28 minutes of possession time season-to-date – winning every game by more than ten points. Check the SDQL here

Week 6 FREE NFL Picks

While we continue to feature our FREE NFL Picks, Key NFL Trends, and game analysis of these picks on our site at NFL One, we will be featuring our picks here for those sites that want our RSS, and The Director, a recognized leading handicapper on their blog.

Week 6 FREE NFL Picks:
SAINTS -6.5
REDSKINS -13.5
Dallas -4.5
Carolina +1.5 (along with the lil’ wise guys) (Featured FREE Pick)

Good Luck everybody!

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Week 5 NFL Predictions: Will bye trends play a role?

As The Director readies his Week 5 picks, our resident experts check in with their outlooks and predictions.

As you go to do so you may want to consider the following information I just received via e-mail:

Week 5: Sunday, October 5th

OVER – Indianapolis at Houston
Prior to last year’s 29-7 win at Jacksonville, Indianapolis had gone OVER in eight straight post-bye week games. The Colts are scoring 33.7 PPG on their own in that span.

ARIZONA SU & ATS vs. Buffalo
The Bills are on the longest pre-bye week losing streak, dropping nine straight games, while going 2-6-1 ATS.

KANSAS CITY ATS at Carolina
Since 2001, the Chiefs have proven a good bet both before and after the bye week, going 10-4 ATS combined (5-2 ATS each) in those scenarios.

TENNESSEE ATS at Baltimore
Since ’02, in games surrounding the bye week, Jeff Fisher’s Titans are a combined 9-2-1 ATS.

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