2013 Week 1 5* NFL Picks: COLTS -10 4* Patriots -10.5, Bengals +3 #nflonedotcom

[Raiders/COLTS] The Raiders are 11-23 ATS in last 35 games as a non-divisional road underdog; 4-15 ATS in last 19 games on artificial turf. While Oakland is most recently 4-1 as an underdog in road openers; QB Pryor is making his first road start.

[Patriots/BILLS] New England is 23-2 in last 25 series games, 8-1 in last nine visits here, with seven of eight wins by 13+ points. Since ’04, NE is 33-20-1 as AF; they’re 17-6-2 in last 25 games as a divisional AF, 5-2 in last seven road openers, 6-3 as favorite in road openers. New coach and new QB for Buffalo. Bills are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as an AFC East home dog, 5-9-1 overall as home dog since 2008.

[Bengals/BEARS] Edge to Cincy for having same HC/QB/coordinators as LY, while Chicago brought QB Trestman in from CFL to mentor star signal caller Cutler. Cincy is 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC opponents. Although the Bengals are 4-10 in last 14 road openers, 4-5 as road dog in road openers, and the Bears won seven of last eight home openers, Cincy is 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog. Since ’07, the Bears are 7-13-1 in non-divisional games.

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3 Responses

  1. LOSER – Raiders 17 COLTS 21 – Indianapolis, IN (Sports Network) – Andrew Luck tossed two touchdown passes and ran for the go-ahead score, as the Indianapolis Colts survived with a 21-17 opening day win over the Oakland Raiders. Trailing 17-14 midway through the final period, Luck scampered 19 yards to the end zone to give the Colts a lead, which they held thanks to a timely interception by Antoine Bethea with 31 seconds remaining. Luck finished 18-of-23 with 178 yards for the Colts (1-0), who surprised many by grabbing a wild card spot last season with an 11-5 record. Reggie Wayne caught eight passes for 96 yards and a score and Vick Ballard gained 63 yards on the ground. Terrelle Pryor, making his second career start for Oakland (0-1), completed 19-of-29 passes for 217 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He also ran for 112 yards, setting a Raiders record for rushing yards by a quarterback. Darren McFadden added 48 yards and a touchdown on the ground for the Raiders, while Rod Streater reeled in five passes for 70 yards.

  2. LOSER – Patriots 23, BILLS 21 – Orchard Park, NY (Sports Network) – At one point, the status of New England wide receiver Danny Amendola was unclear. Wes Welker’s replacement aggravated a groin injury that limited him in practice during the week late in the second quarter. Amendola returned, however, to play a key role in the Patriots’ season-opening 23-21 come-from-behind win over the Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Trailing by a point, the New England defense forced a three-and-out against the aggressive play-calling of the Bills’ Doug Marrone, who made his NFL debut as a head coach. Instead of relying on the running game to eat up more of the clock, Buffalo opted to pass and rookie EJ Manuel, the first quarterback chosen in April’s draft at No. 16, picked up only four yards on 3rd-and-10. The Patriots got the ball back with 4:31 to play in the fourth quarter, and quarterback Tom Brady twice hooked up with Amendola to convert third downs, the latter a 10-yard gain on 3rd-and-8 from the Buffalo 39. Shane Vereen followed with a 15-yard run around left tackle on the next play, setting up Stephen Gostkowski’s game-winning 35- yard field goal with five seconds left. Brady finished with 288 yards, two touchdown passes to Julian Edelman and one interception while completing 29- of-52 throws. Vereen totaled 101 yards on 14 carries and added 58 yards on seven receptions for the Patriots (1-0), who have won 10 consecutive season openers, the longest current streak in the NFL. Amendola made 10 grabs for 104 yards.

  3. PUSH – Bengals 21 BEARS 24 – Chicago, IL (Sports Network) – Jay Cutler hooked up with Brandon Marshall for a go-ahead 19-yard touchdown late in the fourth quarter, as the Chicago Bears began the Marc Trestman era with a 24-21 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in the season-opener for both teams on Sunday at Soldier Field. Cutler finished 21-of-33 passing for 242 yards, two touchdowns and an interception, while Marshall hauled in eight passes for 104 yards and the deciding score for the Bears (1-0), who went 10-6 last season but missed out on the playoffs after losing a tiebreaker with Minnesota for the sixth seed in the NFC. Matt Forte rushed 19 times for 50 yards and a touchdown in the victory, helping Trestman become just the fourth Bears head coach to win his debut contest, joining Hall of Famer George S. Halas (1920), Neill Armstrong (1978) and Dick Jauron (1999). Cincinnati signal-caller Andy Dalton completed 26-of-33 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions, while A.J. Green grabbed a game-high nine passes for 162 yards and both of Dalton’s touchdowns. BenJarvus Green-Ellis added a rushing score for the Bengals (0-1), who entered the postseason as a wild card club last season, but failed to score an offensive touchdown in a 19-13 loss at Houston in the opening round.

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