2014 Week 5 NFL Picks: 5* Broncos -9.5, 4* Chargers -7 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[Broncos/JETS]  Having found our first big win in San Diego last week, it is difficult not to head to New York this week.  Even with the spread seeming to rise like a IPO, it is simply too hard to resist going against a Jets team with a quarterback controversy stemming from an average quarterback rating of 66.5i  While its defense is only allowing 320 yards per game, the are also allowing a 47.3 3rd down percentage.  Outscored by nearly 10 points in their last 5 games in managing only 15.8 points per game, the Broncos, who arrive outscoring their opponents by nearly 9 points on nearly 400 yards per game in their last 5 do not appear ready to fall in a trap given that they are led by Manning, 109.  While the Broncos rushing attack has struggled, and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games, look Denver to head to to the air to continue the Jets run of 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games.

[Chargers/RAIDERS] Over the years, there have been plenty of stumbles for the Chargers in Oakland stadium.  Times were different, and the Raiders were not 0-5 ATS in their last five Home games, and not 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.  While the Chargers are only averaging 347 yards per game, they are the hottest team ATS at the moment at 5-0 ATS in outscoring their opponents by 14 points per game. With their quarterbacks averaging only 72.9 rating, they powering only 12.8 points per game in their last five games.  There is no mystery here that Rivers, 116.3 rating will head to the air.  The only mystery is how the Raiders can try to stop it.

Week 9 Bye Trends: Last Chance

As The Director readies his Week 9 picks, our resident experts check in with their outlooks and predictions.

One thing is for sure, our friend’s Bye Trends is the golden ticket. Thus, The Director encourages you to take note as he prepares his Key NFL Trends:

Week 9: Sunday, November 2nd

OVER & JACKSONVILLE ATS at Cincinnati
Reason…Cincinnati’s opponent in the post-bye week game is on a 6-1 SU & ATS run and the OVER shares the same record in the L7.

DENVER ATS vs. Miami
Reason…The Broncos have been consistently strong coming out of the open date, going 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS since ’92.

CLEVELAND ATS vs. Baltimore
Reason…The Ravens have lost five of their last six, both SU & ATS before the open date after winning their previous five.

UNDER – Baltimore at Cleveland
Reason…The UNDER is on a run 5-1 in Baltimore’s L6 pre-bye week games.

TAMPA BAY ATS at Kansas City
Reason…Since arriving in Tampa in 2002, John Gruden’s Buccaneers team has not lost a pre-bye week game, going 6-0 SU & ATS.

DALLAS ATS at NY Giants
Reason…The Cowboys own the league’s best straight up mark overall in pre-week games at 14-4 and are second with a 13-5 ATS mark. In the last 10 years, they are 9-1 ATS.

OVER – Houston at Minnesota
Reason…Totals have been the wager of choice for savvy bettors in pre- & post bye week Minnesota games. Since ’98, the OVER is 17-5 in those contests.

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