2014 Week 9 NFL Picks: 5* Cardinals -1, 4* Chiefs -9 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[Cardinals/COWBOYS] Losing Romo in the biggest upset of the year spells trouble for a Cowboys team facing a streaking Cardinals team that is 4-1 ATS in their last five games.  6-1 SU in their last seven games, the time is now for the Cardinals to turn their 0-5 record ATS in their last five games in Dallas.   The Cowboys will suffer the same fate of so many this year against the #1 ranked Cardinals rush defense.

[Jets/CHIEFS] It is hard to resist a CHIEFS team that is 4-1 ATS in their last five games in outscoring their opponents by over 14 points per game.  With a balanced offense, it is the defense that is allowing less than 307 yards per game, including only 195.7 passing yards per game.  Arrowhead will too large a hill to climb for a visiting Jets team that is powering only 16 points per game in their last five games.


2013 Week 15 5* NFL Pick: Patriots +2 4* Chiefs -5.5

[Patriots/DOLPHINS] It is rivalry week in Pro Football. There is little reason to believe that the Fish, 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven matchups, can repeat their 2011 upset. Instead, Brady, 88.3 rating, and a patriots offense that has averaged over 450 yards per game in their last three games, will exploit the Dolphins 30th ranked Home defense; the Dolphins powering only 252 yards in their matchup in New England. With Tannehill sacked 48 times this year, Look for the Patriots defense to generate turnovers, and help to turn their 1-6-1 run ATS on the Road around.

[Chiefs/RAIDERS] With the surprise loss on Thursday night, the Chiefs will have every reason to avoid falling into a trap this week. This game will be fought in the trenches between the Chiefs 4th ranked Road rushing attack and the Raiders 3rd ranked Home defense. Entering 1-4 ATS in their last five games, look for a Raiders offense, managing 20.3 points per game, to continue to struggle. Having snapped the 3 game slide ATS earlier this season, look for Smith, 18 touchdowns, and the Chiefs, who are outscoring their opponents by nearly 10 points per game, to take this one.

2013 Week 9 5* NFL Pick: Saints -5.5 Chiefs -5 4* Seahawks -15.5

[Saints/JETS] Brees, 109.2 rating, and the Saints are a stellar 10-3 ATS in November. Having lost by 40 last week, the Jets, 1-5 ATS in November, 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring fewer than 15 points, will hope Geno Smith, 71.6 rating, can bounce back. Sacked 28 times, and having thrown one TD and nine interceptions in their losses, Smith, will struggle to keep up with the Saints, who averaged over 32 points per game in their last five games.

[Chiefs/BILLS] Given the Chiefs 0-9 run ATS versus the AFC East, everyone is calling for an upset today. Experts believe that the Bills, 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss, will take down the tenacious Chiefs defense that is holding opposing offenses to a league-low 12.3 points per game. While the Chiefs are 4-11 ATS against teams with losing records, they are on fire on the Road this year.

[Buccaneers/SEAHAWKS] Having struggled badly on offense in a 14-9 win over the St. Louis Rams on Monday night, totaling just 135 yards, the Home crowd will be happy to bounce back against the winless Bucs, who will be commanded by Glennon, 78 rating. Averaging less than 300 yards per game, and less than 20 points per game, the Bucs will continue their recent 0-4 run ATS versus the NFC against the Seahawks, who are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games on turf with a defense allowing just 189 yards per game.

2013 Week 4 5* NFL Picks: CHIEFS -3.5 4* Colts -8 #nflonedotcom

[Giants/CHIEFS] A die hard Giants fan, it pains me to write this. However, arriving 0-6 ATS on the Road, allowing 382 yards per game in 2013, Manning, 70.5 rating, will need a miracle turn around from its rushing attack, averaging only 44.3 yards per game to avoid a blow out versus the Chiefs, who are outscoring their opponents by 12 ppg on the most balanced attack in the NFL.

[Colts/JAGUARS] Could the Giant have had Bradshaw and Richardson? The Colts do. With its defense allowing only 254 total yards and forcing two turnovers in Frisco, look for the Jags, powering only 9 ppg on 230 yards per game, who are most recently 0-4 ATS in their last four games to continue their struggles versus Luck, 92.7 rating, powering 352 yards per game.

Week 10 Killer Trends Of the Week

Kansas City Chiefs/San Diego Chargers
· The Chiefs are 0-5 ats (-10.1 ppg) since 2004 the week after a loss in which they were winning at the end of the third quarter.Check the SDQL here
· The Chargers are 10-0 ats (+13.8 ppg) since 2003 at home when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date.Check the SDQL here

NY Giants/Philadelphia Eagles
· The Giants are 7-0 ats (+11.4 ppg) since 2006 the week after a win in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing.Check the SDQL here
· The Eagles are 0-7 ats (-10.8 ppg) since 2001 when the line is within 3 of pick after a straight up win on the road, as long as they weren’t getting a td or more in that road win.Check the SDQL here

Stumble It!

Week 8 Killer Trends Of The Week

Kansas City Chiefs/NY Jets
· The Jets are 7-0 ats (13.6 ppg) since september 24, 2006 when on a 1 game su and ats losing streak.Check the SDQL here

NY Giants/Pittsburgh Steelers
· The Giants are 10-0 ats (+10.6 ppg) since 2003 on the road when facing a team that has averaged less than 1.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. Check the SDQL here
· The Giants are 8-0 ats (+8.2 ppg) since 2006 when the line is within 3 of pick on the road.Check the SDQL here

Stumble It!