2014 Week 11 NFL Picks: 5* Niners -3.5 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[49ers/GIANTS] While it kills me to say it, it is hard to resist a Niners team that is 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 Road games.  Although the Niners have been outscored by nearly 1 point per game this season, the Giants have been outscored by nearly 6; outscored by an average of nearly 13 points per game in giong 1-4 ATS in their last five games.  This game is a long way from the Giants big upset back in 2012 in San Francisco.  While the Niners offense has struggled in powering only 343 yards per game, the Giants continued battle with injuries and 27th ranked defense allowing over 400 yards per game should provide them plenty of opportunities.

2014 Week 2 NFL Picks: 5* Seahawks -3.5, 4* BRONCOS -13 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[Seahawks/CHARGERS] Week 2 is always the week that we find out who is for real.   I am one that believes that the Seahawks are for real. Look for the CHARGERS rushing attack, that only powered 52 rushing yards in Arizona, to find little traction versus a Seahawks defense that allowed only 80 yards in its opener.  Particularly troubling for the Chargers is their defense is facing off with Wilson,  110.9 rating, after allowing over 400 yards in its opener.  The recent undefeated 0-4-1 historic record against the Seahawks will definitely be on their mind.

[Chiefs/BRONCOS] After getting blown out in Week 1, the Chiefs arrive as 13 point Underdogs; the largest spread over the last decade.  After an outstanding Week 1 performance, it is simply too hard to resist taking a BRONCOS team versus a injury-ridden Chiefs defense that allowed over 400 yards at Home in Week 1.  Manning powering a 111.9 rating it their opener by averaging over 12 yards per catch to all his leading receivers. Having lost by 35 points and 20 points in two of their last four visits to Denver, look for the Broncos’ stingy rushing defense that allowed only 54 yards in its opener to hold Charles down again, and turn their recent 1-4 record ATS around.




2013 Week 16 5* NFL Pick: CHARGERS -9 4* Broncos -10

[Broncos/TEXANS] The best thing that may have happened to the Broncos was the Chargers upset. Unsure which Texans squad will show up, the Broncos arrive 13-5 ATS versus losing teams over the last three seasons. Having made critical mistakes against San Diego, look for this game to be about Manning, 112.9, and his top ranked passing attack versus Houston’s 3rd ranked Home defense. The problem for the Texans, 2-8 ATS against conference opponents is their sputtering offense that has managed only 16.6 points per game in going 1-4 ATS in their last five games. Averaging less than 8 yards per pass in two of their last three games, look for the Texans to fall behind, and never catch up.

[Raiders/CHARGERS] The tide has definitely turned for the Chargers in 2013, who arrive 7-3 ATS over the last three seasons in the last four weeks of the season; powering 397 yards per game in going 3-2 ATS in their last five games. While the Raiders are also powering, they have gone 2-3 ATS, and have been outscored by nearly 9 points per game during the run. With the Chargers defense allowing 6.3 yards per play, it will be vital for Rivers, 106.9 rating, and Matthews, 4.3 yards per carry, to get off to a fast start, and force the Raiders, who have allowed three of their last four opponents to over 13 per yards per pass, to play from behind.

2013 Week 12 5* NFL Pick: GIANTS -2.5 4* 49ers -5.5

[Cowboys/GIANTS] Outscoring their opponents by 8 in allowing their opponents only 14.8 ppg, The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The defense will need to slow Romo, who has powered 12 TD passes and a 117.7 rating in his last four meetings with the G Men, and a Cowboys team that is 9-3 ATS in Week 12. With its leading receivers all averaging over 14 yards per catch, look for the Giants to go to the air early against a Cowboys defense that is allowing over 313 passing yards per game.

[49ers/REDSKINS] Averaging an amazing 27.8 and 425 yards per game in the last five games, the Redskins are 2-3 ATS during the run in being outscored by nearly 6 ppg. Outscoring their opponents by 10 points per game in their last five games, look for Kaepernick, 81.8 rating, 6 yards per carry, to go for broke, and carve up a Redskins defense that is allowing nearly 390 yards per game.

2012 Week 16 5* NFL Picks: Colts -6, Giants -1.5 #nflonedotcom

While the Texans and Patriots may be too much for the Indianapolis Colts, the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS, who open today at 3-6 ATS in their last nine games are another story. Outscored by 13 points per game only 180 passing yards per game this season, there is little chance that Chiefs can make a last stand today. Averaging a league leading low of 9 points per game in their last five games, look for the Chiefs to fall behind early, and be unable to catch the balanced offense behind Luck, whose 75.5 rating on 267 passing yards per game has the Colts on a playoff run.

[Giants/RAVENS] The experts and the public in print and the on the radio have jumped all over the New York Giants, who arrive 10-3-1 ATS in their last fourteen games versus winning teams. With both of these teams stumbling lately, people favor the Giants over a Ravens squad that is 1-4 ATS in their last five games on only 180 passing yards per game. While the Giants have been anything but consistent lately, their average has matched their opponents point for point in their last five games. 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points, look for Manning, 84 rating, to take advantage of the 26th ranked Ravens defense. With Bradshaw’s fire back on the sideline, look for the Giants to be too much for a Ravens squad that is 0-6 ATS in their last six games after 1 or more losses, struggling on 3rd down with only a 35.4% completion percentage, and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games versus winning teams.

2012 Week 12 4* NFL Pick: GIANTS -2.5

While the experts and public are favoring the NEW YORK GIANTS, the Packers will push the Giants to their limit. The bad news for the Giants is that they arrive with the 28th ranked Home rushing defense. The good news for the Giants is that the Packers, 5-0 SU, 13-3 SU in their last 16 Road games, are powering the 22nd ranked Road rushing attack on only 99.4 rushing yards per game. A league best 4-1 ATS in their last five games in outscoring their opponents by 11 points per game, the Packers sport a surprisingly weak Road passing defense this year; the Giants 9th ranked Home passing attack that is averaging 279 yards per game, and has slowed over the last two weeks, will need to attack early. 1-4 ATS in their last five games at Home, avoiding the fumbles that has paralyzed their momentum and the rushing attack will be a must. Powering more than 305 yards per game that the Giants have averaged over their last five games will also be key. Lastly, allowing 3.2 sacks per game, pressuring Rodgers into a mistake, and not allowing the momentum that teams have been driving in the second quarter will be just as important.

2012 Week 10 5* NFL Pick: Giants -4

Having done so after the Eagles upset, the Giants will have another chance to bounce back. and to stretch their lead in the NFC East. With the CINCINNATI BENGALS averaging 23.6 points per game, this will be another test for the Giants defense, who continues to allow 20.6 points per game on over 375 yards per game. The good news for the Giants is that the Bengals struggle at Home; 1-4 SU, 0-4-1 ATS, in their last 5 Home games. The good news for the Giants, who are 8-1 SU in their last nine Road games, in outscoring their opponents by over 8 points per game in their last five games, is that the Bengals arrive with the 28th ranked rushing attack. This will force Dalton, 86.7 rating, to the air where the Giants continue to find their luck with key interceptions. Better news for the Giants crew is that the Bengals are powering the 25th ranked defense as well as the 25th ranked passing defense who will be on its heels from a Giants offense powering over 263 passing yards per game; sporting one of the worst second half defenses, the Bengals should find themselves giving this one away when the teams return from halftime.