2013 Week 17 5* NFL Pick: STEELERS -9 4* SAINTS -11

[Browns/STEELERS] Their first matchup lead the Browns and Steelers in opposite directions for the last quarter of the season. Winning by 16 points, the Steelers have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games, and the Browns 1-4 ATS. With an outside chance at the playoffs, the home crowd will in rare form. Look for the Steelers defense, who held the Browns to only 2.5 yards per rush to stand tall again. With their own offense powering only 3.5 yards per rush, look for Roethlisberger, 93.7 rating, to take to the air early.

[Buccaneers/SAINTS] Tempted by the Panthers, the Saints have more on the line today versus a Buccaneers team that has lost by an average of 16 points in their last three losses. While going 1-4 ATS in their last five games, The Bucs will face Brees, 101.8 rating, and a Saints offense that is powering 32.9 points on 439.7 yards per game at Home. 2-5 ATS on the Road the Season, the Bucs offense, that is powering only 275 yards per game, 177.1 passing yards per game on the Road, will find this too tough a mountain to climb.

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2012 Week 16 5* NFL Picks: Colts -6, Giants -1.5 #nflonedotcom

While the Texans and Patriots may be too much for the Indianapolis Colts, the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS, who open today at 3-6 ATS in their last nine games are another story. Outscored by 13 points per game only 180 passing yards per game this season, there is little chance that Chiefs can make a last stand today. Averaging a league leading low of 9 points per game in their last five games, look for the Chiefs to fall behind early, and be unable to catch the balanced offense behind Luck, whose 75.5 rating on 267 passing yards per game has the Colts on a playoff run.

[Giants/RAVENS] The experts and the public in print and the on the radio have jumped all over the New York Giants, who arrive 10-3-1 ATS in their last fourteen games versus winning teams. With both of these teams stumbling lately, people favor the Giants over a Ravens squad that is 1-4 ATS in their last five games on only 180 passing yards per game. While the Giants have been anything but consistent lately, their average has matched their opponents point for point in their last five games. 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points, look for Manning, 84 rating, to take advantage of the 26th ranked Ravens defense. With Bradshaw’s fire back on the sideline, look for the Giants to be too much for a Ravens squad that is 0-6 ATS in their last six games after 1 or more losses, struggling on 3rd down with only a 35.4% completion percentage, and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games versus winning teams.

Week 7 – Back To The Drawing Board

Led astray by the very sweet middle we had taken a look at in last week’s column, we move back to the drawing board, and back to the science that The Director has used in tapping the Top and Bottom of recent success Against the Spread (‘ATS’). Let’s keep in mind that The Director prefers the Last 5 games ATS as opposed to the last 10 games. ALL teams in the middle that have won 3 games ATS have been removed.

Having noted in our other column how difficult Week 8 appears, this is the week to bank some victories.


Stumble It!

Week 6 – The Sweet Middle

With the bye week removing Indianapolis from competing in Week 6, and the Giants facing off against the Saints in New Orleans, it may just be time to dip into the sweet middle of the pack ATS for winners this week.

Week 4 Preview – Who Is Cold As Ice ATS After Week 3?

Who Is Cold As Ice

In Week 3, the key was looking to the top dogs ATS. In Week 4 with key matchups between the big dogs, the key will be looking to who is Cold As Ice ATS for victories.

Week 3 Preview – Who Is Hot ATS After Week 2?

Who Is Hot ATS Week 2?

While many are focussed on the Monday Night battle, it seems more fitting to begin focusing on the teams that already find themselves at the top of the ladder Against The Spread (‘ATS’).

Having gone 2-0 ATS in our Subscription Pick, but 0-2 in our FREE Picks, we will rely on these trends as we hit the critical Week 3.

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