2014 Week 4 NFL Picks: 5* Falcons -3, 4* Saints -3 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[Falcons/VIKINGS]  On an 0-4 streak, The Director looks to turn the tide in the South.  Believing the Falcons are not looking ahead to Big Blue, look for the Falcons, who are outscoring their opponents by over 10 points per game in 2014 on over 455 yards per game, to have their way with the Vikings, whose quarterbacks arrive with a 69.6 rating.  Look for Ryan, 105.1 rating, and a rushing attack averaging 4.6 yards per carry to find cracks in a Vikings defense that is allowing only 335 yards per game.  With Peterson sidelined, look for the Vikings offense to struggle to find ways to exploit the weak Falcons defense allowing 387 yards per game.

[Saints/COWBOYS] If Payton didn’t have already have an advantage, the addition of Ryan should allow them to be a step ahead as they look to right the ship in Dallas; winning their last matchup by 32 points in 2013.  Although the Saints arrive 1-2 ATS, in outscoring their opponents by only 2 points per game, look for their high-flying offense powering 421.7 yards per game to be too much for a Cowboys team that arrives 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Home games.  While Romo, 86.1 rating, has struggled in he big game, Brees, 99.1 rating, seems built for prime time television.  Short Ingram, look for Brees to methodically move down the field to Graham, and hit the big play to Colston to be step ahead.

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Week 7 Bye Trends: Safe Harbor

As The Director readies his Week 7 picks, our resident experts check in with their outlooks and predictions.

One thing is for sure, our friend’s Bye Trends do play role. Thus, The Director encourages you to take note as he prepares his Key NFL Trends:

Week 7: Sunday, October 19th

BUFFALO ATS vs. San Diego
Reason…Including three straight wins, the Bills are 4-3 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in post-bye week games since ’01.

UNDER – San Diego at Buffalo
Reason…The UNDER is also 6-1 in the L7 Bills’ post bye-week games.

MINNESOTA ATS at Chicago
Reason…The Bears have struggled with motivation in the game before the bye week, going 1-8 SU & ATS in the last nine years.

OVER – Minnesota at Chicago
Reason…Totals have been the wager of choice for savvy bettors in pre- & post bye week Minnesota games. Since ’98, the OVER is 17-5 in those contests.

HOUSTON ATS vs. Detroit
Reason…The Texans own a winning mark of 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in pre-open date games since returning to the NFL in 2002, far better than their overall record.