2014 Week 8 NFL Picks: 5* Colts -3.5, 4* Texans -3.5 #freenflpicks #nflpick

[Colts/STEELERS] Having fallen off the wagon against in Week 7, it is impossible to resist the Colts.  The Colts arrive 5-0 ATS in their last five games in outscoring their opponents by 18 points on nearly 500 yards per game.  While the rushing attack is only averaging 86.3 rushing yards per game this season, Luck, 110.5 rating, had already powered out 19 touchdowns.  Although Roethlisberger arrives with a 96 rating himself behind an offense averaging over 380 yards per game, the Steelers have struggled versus winning teams in 2014.  This game will hinge on the Colts defense that is allowing only a 26% 3rd down percentage this season.

[Texans/TITANS] With its offense only powering 320 yards per game, the TITANS will struggle against the Texans today.  Even though their defense is allowing nearly 400 yards per game, the return of Foster, 4.9 yards per carry, has put the Texans back on the right track.  Having faced two of the NFL elite over the last three weeks, look for the Texans to run over a Titans team that arrives 0-4-1 ATS in their last five Home games, and 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups with Houston.  While both of these defenses have struggled on third down, look for the Texans to have the upper hand versus a Titans defense that is also allowing over 360 yards per game.

2012 Week 14 5* NFL Picks: Falcons -4, COLTS -3 #nflonedotcom

It is interesting that so many experts believe that today is the day that the Falcons will fall. The CAROLINA PANTHERS entering 1-4 ATS, 0-5 SU versus the Atlanta Falcons in their last five matchups. Although the Falcons have struggled on the ground in powering only 86 rushing yards per game in their last five games, Ryan’s passing attack has been stellar at 286 passing yards per game during the run. With the Panthers, 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five home games, arriving allowing 128 rushing yards per game, Turner may just find his groove today. Ranked at the bottom tier at home, the Panthers offense will struggle against Atlanta’s passing defense that has bent but not broken for points. A Panther fumble may just may be the difference in this one.

It has taken me until week 14 to get on the bandwagon, but against the Tennessee Titans, who arrive 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games, it is hard to resist getting on Luck’s bandwagon this week. While the public has been focused on the Colts 7th ranked Home Passing attack, it is actually the Home passing defense, allowing only 216.8 yards per game that has been key to the Colts 4-1 run ATS. They will be again today versus the 28th ranked Road passing attack of Tennessee. Having allowed 457 yards, including 171 on the ground, in their matchup earlier this season, there seems little evidence that the Titans will be able turn their ‘luck’.