2013 Week 15 5* NFL Pick: Patriots +2 4* Chiefs -5.5

[Patriots/DOLPHINS] It is rivalry week in Pro Football. There is little reason to believe that the Fish, 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven matchups, can repeat their 2011 upset. Instead, Brady, 88.3 rating, and a patriots offense that has averaged over 450 yards per game in their last three games, will exploit the Dolphins 30th ranked Home defense; the Dolphins powering only 252 yards in their matchup in New England. With Tannehill sacked 48 times this year, Look for the Patriots defense to generate turnovers, and help to turn their 1-6-1 run ATS on the Road around.

[Chiefs/RAIDERS] With the surprise loss on Thursday night, the Chiefs will have every reason to avoid falling into a trap this week. This game will be fought in the trenches between the Chiefs 4th ranked Road rushing attack and the Raiders 3rd ranked Home defense. Entering 1-4 ATS in their last five games, look for a Raiders offense, managing 20.3 points per game, to continue to struggle. Having snapped the 3 game slide ATS earlier this season, look for Smith, 18 touchdowns, and the Chiefs, who are outscoring their opponents by nearly 10 points per game, to take this one.

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  1. LOSER – Patriots 20, DOLPHINS 24 – Miami, FL (SportsNetwork.com) – Michael Thomas twice thwarted the New England Patriots’ bid for a fourth consecutive come-from-behind win. The Miami safety broke up a would-be touchdown catch before picking off New England quarterback Tom Brady in the end zone with two seconds remaining to seal a 24-20 win at Sun Life Stadium that keeps the Dolphins tied for the final playoff spot in the AFC. Ryan Tannehill threw three touchdown passes for Miami (8-6), the last erasing a 20-17 deficit with 1:15 left in the fourth quarter. Tannehill finished with 312 yards on 25-of-37 efficiency in the Dolphins’ third straight win. However, Baltimore’s win over Detroit on Monday night pushed Miami out of the final wild card spot. Miami and Baltimore have the same record, but the Ravens beat the Dolphins in Week 5. Brady completed 34-of-55 passes for 364 yards and two touchdowns, but the Patriots (10-4) squandered an opportunity to clinch their fifth straight AFC East title. New England also missed out on a chance to seize control of the conference’s top seed.

  2. WINNER – Chiefs 56, RAIDERS 31 – Oakland, CA (SportsNetwork.com) – Jamaal Charles racked up 195 receiving yards and five total touchdowns in a record-setting performance that carried the Kansas City Chiefs to a wild 56-31 win over the Oakland Raiders and a secured spot in the AFC Playoffs. Four of Charles’ eight catches went for touchdowns and he added a score on the ground, becoming the first player in NFL history to record four TD receptions and run in another. Kansas City (11-3) also received big games out of quarterback Alex Smith and its opportunistic defense en route to sewing up a postseason berth just one year after tying for the league’s worst record at 2-14. Smith threw five touchdown passes in all while completing a sharp 17-of-20 throws for 287 yards, while the Chiefs forced seven turnovers in posting their second straight lopsided victory on the road. Kansas City was coming off a 45-10 drubbing of Washington a week ago. Eric Berry accounted for two of the Chiefs’ four interceptions of Matt McGloin, one of which he returned 47 yards for a touchdown. Rashad Jennings had a pair of rushing touchdowns while gaining 91 yards on 23 carries for Oakland (4-10), which was dealt a fourth consecutive loss. McGloin finished with 297 yards and two touchdowns on an 18-of-36 completion rate.

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