2012 Week 16 5* NFL Picks: Colts -6, Giants -1.5 #nflonedotcom

While the Texans and Patriots may be too much for the Indianapolis Colts, the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS, who open today at 3-6 ATS in their last nine games are another story. Outscored by 13 points per game only 180 passing yards per game this season, there is little chance that Chiefs can make a last stand today. Averaging a league leading low of 9 points per game in their last five games, look for the Chiefs to fall behind early, and be unable to catch the balanced offense behind Luck, whose 75.5 rating on 267 passing yards per game has the Colts on a playoff run.

[Giants/RAVENS] The experts and the public in print and the on the radio have jumped all over the New York Giants, who arrive 10-3-1 ATS in their last fourteen games versus winning teams. With both of these teams stumbling lately, people favor the Giants over a Ravens squad that is 1-4 ATS in their last five games on only 180 passing yards per game. While the Giants have been anything but consistent lately, their average has matched their opponents point for point in their last five games. 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points, look for Manning, 84 rating, to take advantage of the 26th ranked Ravens defense. With Bradshaw’s fire back on the sideline, look for the Giants to be too much for a Ravens squad that is 0-6 ATS in their last six games after 1 or more losses, struggling on 3rd down with only a 35.4% completion percentage, and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games versus winning teams.

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  1. WINNER – Colts 20 – CHIEFS 13 – Andrew Luck’s 7-yard TD pass to Reggie Wayne with 4:08 remaining lifted Indianapolis over the Kansas City Chiefs, 20-13, and the Colts locked up the AFC’s fifth seed. Luck completed 17-of-35 passes for 205 yards for the Colts (10-5), who have won four of five. The Stanford product broke Cam Newton’s single-season rookie passing record late in the second quarter and has 4,183 yards this season. Wayne caught five passes for 81 yards for Indianapolis, which could get head coach Chuck Pagano back for its regular-season finale against Houston next week. Bruce Arians has been filling in for Pagano, who underwent treatment for leukemia. Pagano could rejoin the Colts on Monday and coach for the first time since September. Brady Quinn connected on 10-of-22 passes for 162 yards and two interceptions for the Chiefs (2-13), who play at Denver next week. Jamaal Charles carried the ball 22 times for 226 yards and a touchdown for Kansas City, which racked up 507 yards of total offense. Peyton Hillis rushed for 101 yards on 15 carries

    [Giants/RAVENS] LOSER – Giants 14 – RAVENS 33 – Joe Flacco threw for 309 yards and two touchdowns as the Baltimore Ravens clinched their second straight AFC North title with a 33-14 dismantling of the New York Giants at M&T Bank Stadium. Flacco completed 25-of-36 passes with no interceptions and added a rushing touchdown for the Ravens (10-5), who snapped a three-game slide. Ray Rice finished with 107 yards on 24 carries and 51 yards and a score on six receptions, while Anquan Boldin led all receivers with 93 yards on seven catches before leaving the game in the third quarter with a shoulder injury. Eli Manning threw for 150 yards and a touchdown on 14-of-28 efficiency for New York (8-7), which dropped its second consecutive contest to fall a game behind the Minnesota Vikings for the NFC’s final playoff spot. Ahmad Bradshaw returned from a knee injury that kept him out of last week’s game, but totaled just 39 yards on nine carries as the Giants offense was held to a paltry 186 yards.

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