2012 Week 14 5* NFL Picks: Falcons -4, COLTS -3 #nflonedotcom

It is interesting that so many experts believe that today is the day that the Falcons will fall. The CAROLINA PANTHERS entering 1-4 ATS, 0-5 SU versus the Atlanta Falcons in their last five matchups. Although the Falcons have struggled on the ground in powering only 86 rushing yards per game in their last five games, Ryan’s passing attack has been stellar at 286 passing yards per game during the run. With the Panthers, 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five home games, arriving allowing 128 rushing yards per game, Turner may just find his groove today. Ranked at the bottom tier at home, the Panthers offense will struggle against Atlanta’s passing defense that has bent but not broken for points. A Panther fumble may just may be the difference in this one.

It has taken me until week 14 to get on the bandwagon, but against the Tennessee Titans, who arrive 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games, it is hard to resist getting on Luck’s bandwagon this week. While the public has been focused on the Colts 7th ranked Home Passing attack, it is actually the Home passing defense, allowing only 216.8 yards per game that has been key to the Colts 4-1 run ATS. They will be again today versus the 28th ranked Road passing attack of Tennessee. Having allowed 457 yards, including 171 on the ground, in their matchup earlier this season, there seems little evidence that the Titans will be able turn their ‘luck’.

2 Responses

  1. LOSER>>Falcons 20 – PANTHERS 30>>Charlotte, NC (Sports Network) – Cam Newton threw two touchdown passes and broke off a 72-yard TD scamper in the Carolina Panthers’ 30-20 win over the Atlanta Falcons. Newton was 23-of-35 for 287 yards and added a career- high 116 yards rushing on nine carries for the Panthers (4-9), who snapped a five-game losing streak to Atlanta. Steve Smith hauled in seven balls for 109 yards in the triumph. The Falcons (11-2), meanwhile, will have to wait at least another week to clinch a first-round playoff bye. Matt Ryan tallied 302 of his 342 yards in the second half and finished 34-of-49 with two scores and an interception for Atlanta, which had its three-game winning streak snapped. Roddy White caught nine passes for 117 yards and a touchdown in the setback.

  2. WINNER>>Titans 23 COLTS 27>>Indianapolis, IN (Sports Network) – Adam Vinatieri kicked a pair of fourth- quarter field goals to lift the Indianapolis Colts to a 27-23 victory over the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts (9-4) rallied from a 13- point halftime deficit for their third straight victory to improve their playoff chances. Indianapolis has won seven of its last eight and is now just two games back of Houston for first place in the AFC South after the Texans were routed by the Patriots on Monday night. Andrew Luck had a subpar day, but still came away with a win. The rookie completed just 16-of-34 passes for 196 yards with a touchdown and a pair of interceptions for the Colts, who have won five straight at home and improved to 6-1 at Lucas Oil Stadium this season. Vick Ballard ran for 94 yards on 19 carries in the victory, while Reggie Wayne caught six passes for 64 yards with a touchdown and moved into 10th place on the all-time receptions list. Jake Locker threw for 262 yards on 22-of-35 passing with a touchdown and a pair of costly second-half interceptions in defeat. Tennessee (4-9) has dropped three in a row since its bye week and fell to 0-5 within the division.

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