2012 Week 11 5* NFL Picks: SAINTS -5.5, Packers -3.5 #nflonedotcom #nfl

If you missed out last week, you have a second chance with the streaking NEW ORLEANS SAINTS, who are most recently 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season. The Saints arriving 4-1 ATS in their last five games by averaging over 385 yards per game. On the other hand, the Oakland Raiders, arrive 2-3 ATS in their last five games, outscored by an average of 7 points per game. With both of these teams averaging less than 95 rushing yards per game in their last five games, this game will be fought through the air early. The Raiders, who have only had success on the Road over the last two seasons in Kansas City and Jacksonville, will try to take advantage of a Saints defense allowing over 469 yards per game, but fall short of competing with Brees, who is back on track with a 97.3 rating.

All you have to do is listen to the Radio to know that the DETROIT LIONS have been a disappointment. Although they have powered over 406 yards per game, they have been outscored by over 3 points per game. Since Seattle, the Green Bay Packers have gone 5-1 SU; the Packers outscoring their last five opponents by an average of 9 points per game. Arriving 5-0 ATS in their last five versus the NFC North, the Packers defense is powering 28 sacks, while its offensive line has struggled in allowing 29. Arriving nearly perfect at 8-1 ATS in games where the spread is -5.5 to +4, Rodgers, 107 rating, on 25 touchdowns, will test the Lions 2nd ranked Home passing defense, and ultimately prove to be too much for the Lions, who open 1-5 ATS in their last six Home games in this series.

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2 Responses

  1. WINNER>>Saints 38 – RAIDERS 17>>Oakland, CA (Sports Network) – Drew Brees tossed three touchdown passes and the New Orleans Saints stayed red-hot, easily defeating the Oakland Raiders, 38-17, to reach the .500 mark for the first time all season. After losing their first four games, the Saints (5-5) have reeled off three straight victories and have won five of six to get back into the NFC playoff race. Brees threw for 219 yards on 20-of-27 efficiency and connected twice with Lance Moore for touchdowns. Jimmy Graham caught a team-high six passes for 29 yards and a score, while Mark Ingram rushed for 67 yards and a touchdown for the Saints, who will host San Francisco next week. Carson Palmer completed 22- of-40 throws for 312 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but threw two interceptions for the Raiders (3-7), who dropped their third straight game.

  2. WINNER>>Packers 24 – LIONS 20>>Detroit, MI (Sports Network) – Aaron Rodgers had two touchdown passes, including the game-winner to Randall Cobb late in the fourth quarter as the Green Bay Packers took a 24-20 win over the Detroit Lions in an NFC North battle at Ford Field. Rodgers passed for 236 yards and an interception on 19-of-27 attempts with Cobb and Jermichael Finley each catching a score for the Packers (7-3), who have won five straight. James Starks had 25 carries for 74 yards while Mason Crosby missed two field goals, but did make one late for Green Bay, which is 2-0 in division play this season. Matthew Stafford had a rough day as he went just 17-for-39 with 266 yards and a touchdown along with two interceptions and a lost fumble for the Lions (4-6), who have dropped two straight and fell to 0-4 in division play this season. Calvin Johnson caught five passes for 143 yards and a touchdown.

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