2012 Week 9 4* NFL Pick: FALCONS -3.5

Reeling from last week’s loss, the Dallas Cowboys head into Atlanta. It could be because the Cowboys defense is allowing only 291 yards per game that Joe Public continues to drive the spread down. Of course, it is the ATLANTA FALCONS that are 7-0 SU on a +11 turnover ratio. Even though the Falcons defense is allowing 5.1 yards per rushing yards per attempt, they are only allowing 18.6 points per game. Given that the Falcons are averaging 28.7 points per game, and the Cowboys, 4-13 ATS versus Conference opponents over the last two seasons, are only powering 19.6 points per game, the public appears to be distracted by the Cowboys two Road wins. They may be blinded by the Falcons 1-2 record ATS at Home in 2012. Whey they are missing is that the Falcons are led by Ryan, 103 rating, who has already amassed 17 touchdowns. Having touted it in my column last week, their efficiency will be on display again. Although the Falcons’ running backs average less than 4 yards per carry, the team is powering a 46.6% 3rd down percentage. Having put the Eagles season on ice, look for the Falcons to take advantage of the Cowboys 31st ranked touchdown ratio. Allowing only 1.86 points in the first quarter, expect the Falcons to jump out to an early lead, and never look back.

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  1. WINNER>>Cowboys 13 – FALCONS 19 – Matt Bryant made two of his four field goals in the fourth quarter and the Atlanta Falcons stayed perfect with a 19-13 victory over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night. Matt Ryan completed 24-of-34 passes for 342 yards and ended with a passer rating of 102.8 for the Falcons (8-0), who improved to 29-0 when Ryan hits the century mark in quarterback rating. Michael Turner carried the ball 20 times for 102 yards and a touchdown for Atlanta, which will play at New Orleans next Sunday. Julio Jones caught five passes for 129 yards and Roddy White hauled in seven passes for 118 yards. Tony Romo connected on 25-of-35 passes for 321 yards and a touchdown for the Cowboys (3-5), who have lost two in a row and four of five. Kevin Ogletree caught three passes for 96 yards and a score. Jason Witten became the most prolific pass-catcher in Cowboys history with seven catches on Sunday. He surpassed Hall of Famer Michael Irvin, who had 750 catches from 1988-99. Witten now has 754 career catches.

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