2012 Week 1 NFL Picks: 5* TEXANS -13, 4* Eagles -9-5

Like many other experts, even before the curse of HARD KNOCKS settled in, the TEXANS -7, appeared to be an investment, not a wager. Even with the question marks surrounding Foster’s health, there seems little reason that Tannehill will be able to better Henne’s 170 passing yards at Home in this matchup last year that left the Dolphins short 23-13. Having shocked the Colts in 2010, and downing them again in 2011, look for the Texans, who were 1-0-1 when favored by 10 points or more in 2011, to show no mercy in in front of the home crowd.

Unlike 2011, the Eagles flew under the radar all summer and the Preseason. While many teams have struggled on the Road in their openers, the Eagles are an impressive 3-1 ATS over the last six years; outscoring their opponents by over 15 points per game in their victories. Having closed the season with an impressive 4-0 run ATS in winning by a minimum of 13 points, look for Vick who increased his pass production from 208 yards in Week 13 to 335 yards in Week 17 to be too much for young Browns defensive that finds itself on the field for the majority of the afternoon.
Eagles -9.5


2 Responses

  1. WINNER>>Dolphins 10 – TEXANS 30>>Houston, TX (Sports Network) – Arian Foster ran for a pair of touchdowns during a 24-point barrage late in the first half, as the Houston Texans opened the season with a 30-10 victory over the Miami Dolphins at Reliant Stadium. The Texans looked sluggish early and trailed 3-0 midway through the second quarter, but the stout Houston defense forced four consecutive Miami turnovers — including three interceptions of Dolphins rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill — in the final 6 1/2 minutes of the half and the offense took advantage with four scores to turn the game around. Foster, who was questionable for the game because of a knee issue, ran for 79 yards and two scores on 26 carries for Houston (1-0), which is considered a Super Bowl contender after reaching the playoffs for the first time as AFC South champs last year. Houston quarterback Matt Schaub, who missed the final six games of the 2011 regular season and the team’s playoff run because of a foot injury, had a nice return. He completed 20-of-31 passes for 266 yards with a touchdown in the victory. After the game, it was announced that Schaub signed a four-year extension with the club. Tannehill, the first Dolphins rookie quarterback to start a season opener, did not look like the second coming of Dan Marino, who was the last Miami quarterback selected with a first-round draft pick. The Texas A&M product, chosen eighth overall in April, threw for 219 yards on 20-of-36 efficiency for a Miami offense that did not produce a touchdown. It was a losing debut for new Miami coach Joe Philbin, who was Green Bay’s offensive coordinator last season. The Dolphins (0-1) are coming off a 6-10 mark in 2011 that included an 0-7 start, and are trying to avoid a fourth straight losing season.

  2. LOSER>>Eagles 17 – BROWNS 16>>Cleveland, OH (Sports Network) – Michael Vick threw four interceptions, but his touchdown pass to Clay Harbor with 1:18 remaining gave the Philadelphia Eagles a 17-16 victory over the Cleveland Browns in a Week 1 nail-biter. Vick, coming off a career-high 14 interceptions last season, made up for a sloppy 3 1/2 quarters by guiding the Eagles on a 16-play, 91-yard drive that ended in Harbor’s 4-yard score. Brandon Weeden, the first Browns rookie to start the season under center in the Super Bowl era, was intercepted for the fourth time on the ensuing possession to seal the outcome. Vick finished with 317 yards on 29-of-56 passing and also threw a touchdown pass to Jeremy Maclin, who hauled in seven balls for 96 yards. LeSean McCoy rushed for 110 yards on 20 carries, but accounted for another turnover with a fumble. Last year, the Eagles went 8-8 and missed the postseason for the fourth time in Andy Reid’s 13-year tenure as head coach thanks in part because of a -14 turnover margin. Weeden completed just 12-of-35 attempts for 118 yards, while fellow rookie Trent Richardson was held to 39 yards on 19 carries. Cleveland, which went 4-12 in Pat Shurmur’s first season as head coach last year, has not won its season opener since 2004.

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